【摘要】 现代化的成果有人彰显,现代化的苦果有人吞咽。近代上海以繁华摩登的姿态吸引无数的掘金者前往,在享受快速现代化和劳动力红利时,却没有给予"新上海人"应有的尊重。近代上海的人口格局呈现三个显著面相:爆炸的人口增长、失衡的人口结构和边缘化的堕落群体。这三个特点呈现单向因果关系,无法制止的人口骤增导致人口结构失衡,进而滋生大量边缘化群体,三者结合下的上海人口格局陷入"人口困境"。上海人口格局的"困境"既是上海现代化中的失败结果,又是阻碍上海现代化提升的原因,成为上海现代化之难。更多还原

【Abstract】 The achievements of modernization have been highlighted, and the bitter fruits of modernization have been swallowed. Modern Shanghai attracted numerous gold diggers with a flourishing and modern attitude. While enjoying the rapid modernization and labor dividend, he did not give the "New Shanghai Peoples" due respect. The population pattern of modern Shanghai has three distinct features: explosive population growth, unbalanced population structure and marginalized degenerate groups. These three characteristics show a one-way causal relationship.The sudden increase of population which cannot be stopped leads to the imbalance of population structure, which breeds a large number of marginalized groups. Shanghai’s population pattern under the combination of these three characteristics falls into "population dilemma". The "dilemma" of Shanghai’s population pattern is not only the result of the failure of Shanghai’s modernization, but also the reason that hinders Shanghai’s modernization and it becomes the difficulty of Shanghai’s modernization.更多还原