【摘要】 针对现有的水闸安全评判方法易受主观性影响,且多难以充分考虑被评判对象确定性与不确定性因素相互作用等问题,在对水闸安全多层次评判指标体系研究构建的基础上,将集对分析理论中的联系数和集对势引入水闸安全态势评判中,并通过对指标权重的主客观组合赋权,以实现水闸运行安全状态的综合评估和发展状况的趋势预测。通过对某实际水闸工程的分析计算,该方法在水闸运行安全态势综合评判中的可行性和有效性得到了验证,较好地实现了案例工程安全态势的定性与定量评判。更多还原

【Abstract】 Current evaluation methods for the safety situation of sluice are susceptible to subjectivity,and by most of them the interactions between certainty factors and uncertainty factors are hard to be fully considered. On the basis of constructing a multi-level evaluation index system of sluice safety,the connection number and set pair trend in the theory of set pair analysis are introduced into the safety evaluation. Through combinatorial weighting of subjective and objective indicators,the safety situation and development trend of sluice operation can be evaluated in qualitative and quantitative senses. A practical case study verifies the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.更多还原