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河南省人口-经济-土地-社会城镇化协调发展时空演变研究

Spatiotemporal evolution of coordinated development in population-economy-land-society urbanization in Henan Province

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【作者】 王小敏徐冉张文新

【Author】 WANG Xiaomin;XU Ran;ZHANG Wenxin;Faculty of Geographical Science,Beijing Normal University;

【通讯作者】 张文新;

【机构】 北京师范大学地理科学学部

【摘要】 基于人口、经济、土地和社会城镇化的概念和内涵构建评价指标体系,运用熵值法、协调发展度模型、秩相关系数、GIS可视化以及ESDA方法,研究了2000—2012年河南省人口-经济-土地-社会城镇化协调发展的时空格局演变.研究发现:1)2000—2012年13a间河南省人口-经济-土地-社会城镇化协调发展度呈稳步上升趋势,从失调阶段逐渐发展到过渡阶段,最后到达协调发展阶段;河南省18个地级市的协调发展度变化呈现一定的时序特征.2)18个地级市协调发展水平偏低,地区间协调发展度差距大,且有扩大趋势,空间分异明显.3)河南省城镇化系统协调发展存在着明显的空间关联性,但逐渐呈现空间弱化的态势,空间负相关增强.4)高值区主要位于豫西北部,低值区集中分布在豫东南塌陷区.

【Abstract】 An evaluation index system was constructed based on the concept of population,economic,land and social urbanization and used to explore spatial temporal evolution of population-economic-land-social urbanization in Henan Povince from 2000-2012.Entropy method,coordination development degree,relational coefficient and spatial data were all considered.Time-series calculations/analyses revealed that coordination development level gradually increased from 2000-2012 with phase characteristic:initial misalignment,gradual transition, finally coordination. Coordinated development degree of population-economic-land-social urbanization declined in most cities in Henan Province with a slight decline.The gap between these cities is large,and spatial differentiation of urbanization is obvious.The coordination development degree of urbanization in Henan showed strong spatial autocorrelation.With time a certain amount of weakening trend appeared,followed by negative correlation.High values were mainly present in the northwest,low values concentrated in the southeast subsidence area in Henan.

【基金】 河南省政府决策研究招标课题资助项目(2013B053)
  • 【文献出处】 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2019年02期
  • 【分类号】F299.27
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】560
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