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中国大陆地震风险分析模型研究(Ⅱ):生命易损性模型
A STUDY ON SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT IN MAINLAND CHINA(Ⅱ):LIFE VULNERABILITY MODEL
【摘要】 通过比较研究前人的工作成果,采用陈颙等人提出的宏观易损性分析思路,完善了该分析方法的人口和GDP分配方案,同时考虑了前人忽略了的人员死亡率为0时的特殊情况,在收集大量灾害性地震资料的基础上,拟合出了新的地震生命易损性模型.通过和云南省县级尺度上建筑物易损性分类清单法预测结果相对比,证明本文建立的地震生命易损性模型是合理可行的,在地震灾害损失预测和地震应急工作中都具有实际应用价值.
【Abstract】 Through a comparative study results of the work of our predecessors,Chen Yong,who used the Macro Vulnerability Analysis (MVA),and on the basis of collection of a large number of seismic disasters data,improve the analysis of the population and GDP allocation scheme,taking into account the cause of the mortality rate 0 neglected by predecessors,finally fitting out a new model of the seismic life vulnerability. It proved that the establishment of this seismic life vulnerability model is reasonably practicable by compared to predicted results of building vulnerability categorized list in county scale in Yunnan Province,and has practical applications value in the loss of earthquake prediction and earthquake disaster emergency work at present.
【Key words】 mainland China; seismic risk; loss of disaster; life vulnerability model;
- 【文献出处】 北京师范大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2009年04期
- 【分类号】P315.9
- 【被引频次】17
- 【下载频次】579