【摘要】 由于BAYES方法既可以考虑先验分布的规律,又可以通过部分试验的结果来对先验分布的参数进行修正,在实际应用中有其优越性。在某个地区的震害预测中,一般可根据其他地区的震害经验,先假定一个先验分布,再依据实际地震中发生的结构破坏情况调查,就可以对该分布进行修正,从而可以得出较好的震害预测结果。本文试图建立这样的一个方法,并以单层厂房为例,进行了计算分析。更多还原

【Abstract】 Bayes model is come up with in this paper,in order to enhance the fitness of the seismic damage forecasting for a certain area.Damage experience of the other places is applied as former test distribution parameters.They are corrected by the actual damages in the investigated buildings of the certain area.A example of singe story work is demonstrated in this method.更多还原