【作者】 曹旭平；

【导师】 沈杰；

【作者基本信息】 南京林业大学 ， 林业经济管理， 2010， 博士

【摘要】 林化产品是重要的非木质林产品,近年来其国际需求及贸易量增长迅猛。中国是林化产品生产及贸易大国,在全球经济一体化步伐日益加快的今天,有必要对中国林化产品国际竞争力进行研究。本研究构建中国主要林化产品国际竞争力分析模型,采用指数法分析林化产品出口市场结构和产业内贸易水平,采用CMS模型测定林化产品出口波动成因,采用业绩和质量指标实证评价林化产品显性国际竞争力,构建林化产品国际竞争潜力的三层模型,采用索洛余值法测定中国林化产品制造业技术进步贡献率,采用灰色关联法找出林化产品国际竞争力的主要影响因素,采用BCG矩阵分析林化产品出口市场细分战略,采用PNP、PCA、FMR和FR等指标评价林化产品省级区域竞争力,并构建天然橡胶安全预警系统。实证研究表明中国主要出口林化产品业绩竞争力较高,但质量竞争力偏低。中国林化产品参与国际竞争面临着诸多问题及挑战,如林化企业规模偏小、生产工艺落后、国内市场恶性竞争、天然橡胶和棕榈油进口依赖严重、出口市场集中度偏高、主要林化产品产地集中度偏高和贸易壁垒较多等。针对问题提出中国林化产品国际竞争的高级生产要素培育战略、细分市场战略、市场控制及期货市场战略、贸易壁垒应对战略和政府支持战略。更多还原

【Abstract】 Forest chemical product is an import NWFP, with a fast increase of international demand and trade volume in recent years. China has been a major country in producing and trading forest chemical product. With the pace of global economic integration being fast, it’s necessary to study the international competitiveness of China’s forest chemical product.The model in evaluating international competitiveness of China’s main forest chemical products is established. The export direction and intra industrial trade of forest chemical products are analyzed by using indices. The influential factors of forest chemical products’ export fluctuation are measured by CMS model. The apparent international competitiveness of forest chemical products is evaluated by achievement and quality indices. A three-story model of potential international competitiveness of forest chemical products is established. Contribution rate of manufacturing technology in China’s forest chemical products has been measured by Solow’s surplus value method. The main influential factors of forest chemical products’international competitiveness are found by Grey relatedness analysis. Segmentation strategies of export products are analyzed through BCG matrix. The provincial competitiveness of forest chemical products is evaluated by PNP, PCA, FMR and FR. The pre-safe system of natural rubber is established in the paper.The empirical research indicates that China has high achievement competitiveness but low quality competitiveness. In the process of international competition, China is confronting with many problems and challenges, such as small-scale forest chemical enterprises, backward production technology, domestic vicious competition, serious reliance on the import of natural rubber and palm oil, high concentration in export markets and origins, and many trade barriers and so on. This paper supplies the strategies of advanced production development, market segmentation, market controlling and reforming commodity futures market, confronting trade barriers and government support of China’s forest chemical products.更多还原