【作者】 张相勇；

【导师】 宁云才；

【作者基本信息】 中国矿业大学（北京） ， 管理科学与工程， 2009， 博士

【摘要】 分析了建筑工程设计风险管理研究和应用现状及存在的问题,结合目前我国建筑工程设计风险管理的实际现状和特点,以建筑工程设计开展的时间顺序,提出了建筑工程设计风险识别的SPC模型。通过笔者在建筑工程设计及管理工作中的实践经验、本文问卷调查的结果及相关文献分析的结果,总结了基于SPC模型的建筑工程设计的40个风险因素,提出了建筑工程设计的前十大风险因素。对40个风险因素进行了因子分析,构建了建筑工程设计风险评估指标体系,通过运用AHP层次分析法定权和模糊综合评价方法,计算推导出了各关键风险因素的权重,得出了建筑工程设计整体风险水平和各风险因子的风险水平。通过建筑工程设计参与主体的博弈分析,从信息经济学角度分析了其风险存在的根源。本文对建筑工程设计风险管理进行了分析。在认真分析国家政策和研究相关论文的基础上,从风险规避,损失控制,风险转移,风险自留,风险预防,风险监控等方面对各个风险因素的应对措施作了详细阐述,研究了适合建筑工程设计风险管理体系的机制。更多还原

【Abstract】 The present study situation and the existing problems currently of risk management in building engineering design are analyzed.According to the current conditions and characteristics of risk management of building engineering design in our country, the SPC model of building engineering design for risk identification with the process of building engineering design is made. Through my personal work practice, the findings of the survey and analysis of relevant literature, this dissertation summed up 40 risk factors of building engineering design by the SPC model, thus brought forward the top ten risk factors of the building engineering design. The component analysis is conducted on all the identified risk parameters,and the risk estimation index system of building engineering design is established.By applying the general fuzzy estimation method and the AHP rights-determination,the weight of each key risk factor is calculated,and the general risk level and the level of each risk component within building engineering design are gained.By Game Theory on the action of the entities of engineering design,the sources of the risks are explained basing on the Information Economics. Risk management of building engineering design is analyzed. In this dissertation, on the basis of a careful analysis of national policy and research literature,from risk elusion, loss control, risk transfer, risk retention, risk prevention and risk control, the various response measures of risk factors are elaborated,and risk management system of the building engineering design is studied.更多还原