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中国安全生产规制理论及效果评估与实证研究

Study on Theory and Effects Assessment & Empirical-demonstration of Work Safety Regulation in China

【作者】 苗金明

【导师】 周心权;

【作者基本信息】 中国矿业大学(北京) , 安全技术及工程, 2009, 博士

【摘要】 运用系统安全论和社会性规制理论,分析和总结安全生产规制的理论依据,提出安全生产规制的范畴和我国安全生产规制的类型。系统总结中国安全生产规制体制的演进发展、运行模式、规制内容方式及制裁措施。利用安全生产成本收益分析原理,系统总结和分析安全生产的经济功能、经济活动特征及规律,指出安全生产效益规律和安全投入与安全指标、安全效益的关联关系。应用“成本-收益”、效用理论、信息经济学中的委托-代理模型、博弈论等分析方法和工具,从安全生产规制链条的三个层级入手,对生产安全事故责任追究规制和安全生产监管规制进行经济分析,研究各方的行为选择及对规制效果的影响。总结分析安全生产规制效果的影响因素,探讨安全生产规制效果评估的方法,利用模糊数学思想和层次分析法建立安全生产规制效果综合评估定量模型,计算结果与实际情况基本一致。借助计量经济学的回归方法,建立安全生产规制效果检验模型,以煤矿行业和某地区企业安全生产状况为实例,使用该模型进行量化计算和实证分析,揭示规制本身外的相关因素影响安全生产规制效果的作用机制。最后,提出改进和完善我国安全生产规制的对策建议。

【Abstract】 The theories of work safety regulation are analyzed and summarized, and the category and types of the regulation are put forward, with the theories of system safety and social regulation being applied. The evolution, development and the contents, methods and sanction measures, operation model of work safety regulation of China are summarized systemically. The rule of safety performance and the associated relations among safety investment, safety index are pointed out, on the basis that the economic function, characteristic of work safety are summarized and analyzed systemically. Beginning with three layer classes of the chain of work safety regulation, the regulations of accident responsibility and safety supervising are economically analyzed to study everyone’s behaviours choice in regulations and its influence on regulation effects with cost-benefit, utility theory, agent model and gambling being used. The influent factors of work safety regulation effects are summarized and analyzed, and the methods of effects assessment of work safety regulation are probed into. The quantitative model of general effects assessment of work safety regulation is constructed in virtue of fuzzy theory and analytic hierarchy process, and the calculation result is in accordance with actual circumstance. The prove models of work safety regulation are established by using the regression method of econometrics, and taking example for coal mine and enterprises of certain area, quantitative calculation and empirical analysis are carried on to find out the mechanism how the relative factors out of regulation influence regulation effects. In the end, the countermeasures and proposals to improve and perfect work safety regulation of China are put forward.

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