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昆山人口变迁研究:1978-2005

Population Changes in Kunshan: 1978-2005

【作者】 张峰

【导师】 王国平;

【作者基本信息】 苏州大学 , 中国近现代史, 2008, 博士

【摘要】 1978年至2005年是昆山经济社会快速发展和人口急剧变迁的时期。本文以昆山人口变迁为研究对象,旨在重新审视人口变迁与经济发展、社会进步之间的互动历程和互动关系,并给予理性的思考与展望,为经济发达地区的可持续发展提供借鉴。昆山作为我国经济社会率先发展并已取得巨大成就的县级市,其人口的变迁也显现出独特之处。本文历史地勾勒出二十多年来昆山人口总量及其结构急剧变化的基本历程,并将人口变迁与经济社会发展的互动放置于非农化和城市化的背景之下寻求根源。本文认为,从乡镇经济的异军突起到外向经济的独占鳌头,昆山经历了草根工业化与外向型工业化的发展阶段,其结果不仅使本地劳动力实现了从“亦工亦农”到完全非农化,而且为众多外来劳动力的非农化提供了重要的载体。与此同时,人口城市化作为一个不可逆转的潮流,在户籍制度的解冻、松动、开放的不同背景下,同样在昆山演绎了缓慢启动、加速推进和纵深发展的历程,并随着社会保障体系的日益完善,展现出城乡一体化发展的态势。本文认为,外来人口的迅速增长与加速集聚,是改革开放以来昆山最为突出的经济社会现象和特征。通过对外来人口的迁移背景、基本情况、主要特点,尤其对其中的独特群体之一台商进行了深入研究,揭示出外来人口在有力推动昆山经济发展和社会开放的同时,也使得昆山这一典型移民城市可持续发展面临着极大的挑战。在适度人口理论指导下,为实现昆山人口、资源、环境和经济社会的可持续发展,在人口变迁进程中,必须实行政府在人口总量、分布、素质等诸方面的调控,而昆山的有效举措值得经济发达地区参考和借鉴。

【Abstract】 The years from 1978 to 2005 witnessed the rapid social and economic development and population changes of Kunshan. Starting from the research of population changes in Kunshan, this dissertation aims to reassess the interactive progresses and relationships between population changes, economic development and social progress to offer a rational reflection and prospect of the subject matter, and provide necessary inspirations for the sustainable development in the economically developed areas.Kunshan, as a county-level city, has pioneered the economic and social development of our country and has already gained remarkable achievements. The population changes in Kunshan possess a unique feature. This dissertation historically outlines the basic progresses of the population numbers and structures of Kunshan in the past 20 years and traces the origins of the interaction of population changes and social and economic development in the context of non-agriculturization and urbanization.The author of this dissertation holds that Kunshan, starting from township enterprises to foreign-related economies, has experienced the development of primitive to foreign-related industrialization, which results not only in the transition from the "co-worker and co-farmer" mode to a total non-agriculturization, but also in the provision of the non-agriculturization of the external labor-force. At the same time, in the contexts of the flexibility and opening of the census register system, the population urbanization, as an unavoidable tendency, underwent the processes of slow start, accelerated promotion and depth development, and with the further perfection the social security system, demonstrated a development tendency of urban-rural integration.The author of this dissertation believes that the rapid increase and assembly of external population are the most striking characteristic and feature of the social and economic phenomena in Kunshan after the reform and opening-up. Through deep exploration into the migrating backgrounds, basic conditions and major features of the external population, and the unique group of Taiwan businessmen in particular, this dissertation reveals that the external population not only forcibly promoted the economic development and opening-up, but also possessed great challenges for the sustainable development of Kunshan, a typical migrating city.Under the guidance of the proper population theory, this dissertation suggests that, in the process of population changes, governmental adjustment and control in population numbers, distributions and qualities be enforced in Kunshan for the sustainable development of the population, resources, environments, society and economy, whose effective measures may possess reference and inspiration for the economically developed areas.

【关键词】 昆山经济社会人口变迁
【Key words】 Kunshaneconomysocietypopulation change
  • 【网络出版投稿人】 苏州大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2010年 04期
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