【作者】 张文娟；

【导师】 尤建新；

【作者基本信息】 同济大学 ， 管理理论与工业工程， 2008， 博士

【摘要】 如何提高基础设施项目的经济效益一直是政府历次投资体制改革的重要内容。科学、全面、可靠的项目评价是项目科学决策、顺利实施和提高投资效益的重要保障和前提,也是政府设计公共项目投融资方案、确定政府补贴额度、方式的重要依据。近年来国内外越来越多的研究成果表明,公共项目(主要是指基础设施项目)具有显著的宏观经济贡献特征,对于基础设施项目的经济评价应该包括微观角度和宏观经济角度两个方面,而且应以宏观评价结果为准。而现行的经济评价体系和指标缺乏对项目宏观经济影响的考察,难以满足基础设施项目投资决策的需要。结合国际和我国国民经济核算体系中对宏观经济评价指标体系的设置原理,以及国内外基础设施等公共项目国民经济宏观效果分析评价的研究成果,采用投入产出分析建立了一系列衡量基础设施项目投资效益的指标,为从数量上系统研究基础设施项目实施对相关地区、国家、行业、部门造成的宏观经济影响提供了方法;并进一步采用城市生产函数法给出了量化判别一个国家或一个城市区域范围内基础设施投资是否达到最佳规模的方式方法,籍此判断基础设施投资是否获得规模效益。该系列评价指标和判别方法具有普遍适用性和代表性,与仅仅评价微观效果的建立在项目层面上的财务评价体系,以及尽管以国民经济为出发点,但采用的却是理论上的以影子价格为基础的国民经济评价相比较,提高了项目评价的层次性和体系化,可以直接从宏观尺度评价基础设施等公共项目的经济效果,满足政府作为投资主体进行宏观经济决策的需要,是对现有经济评价指标的必要补充和完善,对促进我国投资体制改革的进一步深化可以起到较好推动作用。为提高基础设施投资管理质量,改善传统上公共项目投资决策手段、工具落后的局面,就决策支持系统在基础设施投资决策管理中的应用进行了探讨,并结合国外基础设施投资管理的成熟经验,对我国基础设施决策和投资管理提出了具有一定参考价值的建议,有助提高我国基础设施等公共项目决策管理的科学性和客观性。更多还原

【Abstract】 How to improve the investment efficiency of infrastructure projects has been the important content of the previous reforms of the investment system in China. Scientific, comprehensive, reliable project evaluation is an important guarantee and premise for scientific decision-making, smooth implementation and improving investment returns. and it is also an important basis for the design of public project financing options, the determination of the sum of capital given from the government. In recent years more and more domestic and foreign research results show that public projects (mainly refers to infrastructure projects) have significant macroeconomic contribution characteristics, the economic evaluation of infrastructure projects should include the perspectives of micro-and macro-economic point of view, and the macro evaluation results should prevail. The current economic evaluation system is lack of indicators which focus on the macro-economic impact of project, it is difficult to meet the decision-making needs of infrastructure project investment.Integrated with the international accounting system and our national economy in the macroeconomic evaluation index system settings principle, as well as the domestic and international research results on macroeconomic effect analysis and evaluation of infrastructure and public projects, using the input-output analysis theory, the dissertation establishes a series of indicators to measure the national macroeconomic contributions of infrastructure projects which provides measurement methods to study the macroeconomic impact of the infrastructure to regional, national, industry and the other departments. And further, adopting city production function method, the dissertation develops a method to quantitatively judge if the infrastructure investment scale of a country or a city achieves its optimum size and then judge whether the project gets its scale benefits. This series of indicators and evaluation method have universal applicability and representativeness, can increase the level of project evaluation of the system comparing with the financial evaluation system which only analysis the micro-effects at the level of the project and the evaluation of the national economy which starts from the standpoint of national economy, but uses the shadow price.This method can be directly used to analysis the macroeconomic effects of infrastructure, thus can meet the main macroeconomic policy-making needs of the government. These economic evaluation indicators are the necessary complement and improvement And they can help promote the further deepening of China’s investment system.To improve the quality of infrastructure investment management, change the backward situation of traditional decision-making tools, the dissertation also focuses on the application of the decision support system in the infrastructure decision-making management which will update the process of China’s infrastructure projects decision management and improve our public policy-making level of management.更多还原