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中美贸易摩擦的战略考察

Strategic Study on Sino-US Trade Conflicts

【作者】 丘杉

【导师】 陈乔之;

【作者基本信息】 暨南大学 , 国际关系, 2007, 博士

【摘要】 论文首先回顾了中美贸易增长与摩擦发展的过程。揭示伴随中美贸易的增长,两国的贸易摩擦的范围也在不断扩大、破坏性不断加强、特征也不断显现。论文对中美贸易摩擦的特征作了具体归纳。论文从三个方面挖掘了中美贸易摩擦的战略意蕴:贸易摩擦正在从外围逼近两国的核心国家利益;贸易摩擦还在重塑中美的复合依赖、贸易摩擦也正在改变着双方的国家战略基调。论文认为随着中美贸易摩擦战略意蕴的提升,双方都在其中投入了越来越多的政治意愿。论文提炼了贸易摩擦中的美国战略和中国战略:美国主要有贸易问题政治化战略、放大公平贸易责任战略和转移贸易争端焦点战略等三大战略;中国则主要有全球化中解决争端战略、确保经济相互摧毁战略和市场经济地位正名战略等等。论文对双方的每一个战略的内容、实施过程和成效都进行了系统阐述。论文概括了中美贸易摩擦的战略态势:一个主攻,一个主守的的战略角色正在强化,中美贸易摩擦的短期可控性也在提高,中美贸易摩擦正战略胶着。论文对这些态势产生的原因和后果作了关联分析。论文认为中美两国毕竟存在复合的相互依赖关系,贸易摩擦如果使双方都伤痕累累的话,并不符合各自的国家战略利益,所以战略经济对话的出现是适时的、有益的,但由于有各种干扰因素,现在双边贸易协调机制的建设仍存在较大的障碍,不容乐观,所以中国应该作出的正确的判断。论文最后对于中国应如何做好战略抉择,提出了相关的具有针对性和操作性的八个战略思路。

【Abstract】 This paper first reviewed the growth and development process of Sino-US trade conflicts. With the growth of Sino-US trade, the scope of the trade conflicts between the two countries have also expanded, and the destruction has been strengthened, the characteristics has been emerging from time to time. In this papers, the characteristics of Sino-US trade conflicts has been summarized in detail.In this paper, the strategic implications of Sino-US trade conflicts has been implicated from the following three aspects: Trade conflicts between the two countries is approaching from the periphery to the core national interests; Sino-US trade conflicts is also remodeling the complex dependence and trade conflicts is also changing the tone of national strategies from both sides. With the upgrading of strategic implication in Sino-US trade conflicts, both China and US have invested in more and more political will.In this paper, United States and China’s strategic strategies in trade conflicts has been refined. There are mainly three strategies from US: trying to politicize the trade issue, expand fair trade responsibility, transferring focus of trade disputes. But China’s strategy is settling of disputes in the globalization, economic mutual destruction, to ensure that strategies and market economy status name, and so on. In this paper, content of each strategy on both sides, as well as its implementation process and the effectiveness are explained systematically.The strategic posture of two countries in the Sino-US trade conflicts is summarized: A strategy role of attack-defending has been strengthened. And the controllability of Sino-US trade conflicts is improving in short-term. Sino-US trade conflicts is in stalemate. The reasons and consequences of this state are also analyzed in this paper.In this paper, the author believes there are complex interdependent relations between China and the United States after all. And the trade conflicts does not accord with the strategic interests of both countries if it leads to jeopardy to both sides. So the emergence of strategic economic dialogue is timely and useful. However, there are all sorts of interference factors still existing which causes great obstacles in building bilateral trade coordination mechanism, and the status is not optimistic. Therefore, China should make the correct judgment in time.Finally, eight pertinent and practical strategies about how China should make proper strategic decisions in Sino-US trade conflicts have been proposed in this paper

  • 【网络出版投稿人】 暨南大学
  • 【网络出版年期】2009年 03期
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