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西部循环型农业发展的理论分析与实证研究

Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Research on Recycle Agricultural Development in China’s Western Regions

【作者】 王芳

【导师】 雷海章;

【作者基本信息】 华中农业大学 , 农业经济管理, 2006, 博士

【摘要】 建立节约型和谐社会,实现社会主义新农村建设的伟大构想,重点在西部农村,难点在西部农业的发展。既要实现农业经济效益的快速增长,又要保证生态安全、环境和谐发展,成为西部新农村建设首要的任务。依靠大量低效投入无机化肥、农药、水资源,耗竭式地利用农地,已经成为农业发展的恶瘤,不适应西部地区新农村建设和农业可持续发展。循环经济理论的逐渐成熟,为农业发展提供了有力的理论武器。循环型农业是循环经济理念运用在农业生产领域中形成的一种新模式,也是以循环经济理论为基础的新兴农业发展理论。依据理论与实践的结合考察研究,发展循环型农业是西部农业发展的必然选择,也是西部新农村建设的必由之路。这需要建立一个完整的理论分析框架,有目的、有范畴地不断总结研究现实中的问题,作出科学的抽象,形成指导农业经济运行及整个农村经济活动的理论指导思想,为解决现实问题提供有效的理论工具和方法手段。本文试图构建一套较完整、科学、规范的循环型农业发展理论分析框架,并在该分析框架指导下,运用系统分析方法,选择数据包络模型、AHP模型、熵值法以及BP神经网络模型对西部循环型农业发展进行实证研究,探讨在促进农业经济增长的同时保护生态、节约资源,减少环境污染,谋求西部农业发展、农民富裕、农村和谐的新路子。 本论文共有九章,包括四部份内容: 第一部分为导言,主要介绍论文的研究背景、研究目的、研究动态、研究思路和研究方法。 第二部分为理论篇,包含第一章和第二章,其中第一章分析在资源约束、环境恶化的新形势下农业发展出路的基本理论,并指出循环型农业是我国农业现阶段发展的必然选择。第二章是本研究的一个重点,试图将资源环境的约束与循环经济理论相结合,阐述其对传统经济学理论的挑战,建立与完善循环型农业的系统理论分析框架,推进一种新的农业经济发展形态。 第三部分为论证篇,包含第三章至第五章,这一部分是本研究的重点,详细探寻了西部地区农业与循环型农业的实践。第三章从总体上,定量化地描述西部地区农业在经济发展中的地位,对西部地区农业发展的动力与困境进行论证;第四章从农户系统的角度考察了农户目前生产的持续性程度,采用投入产出模型和系统仿真原理,对循环型农业系统进行物质能量流的实证演算,揭示循环型农业系统提高物质能量流产出效益的作用机理;第五章对西部循环型农业发展作出综合评价、诊断和预测。

【Abstract】 The western rural areas should be the key point of the establishment of economy and harmonious society and the realization of socialist new rural reconstruction and the development of western agriculture is the difficulty. Not only the realization of rapid growth in agricultural economy benefit, also the guarantee of ecology security and the harmonious development of environment have become the most important duty of new rural reconstruction. Depending on the massive but lowly efficient input of inorganic chemical fertilizer, agricultural chemicals, water resources and using land exhaustedly have already become the malignant tumor of agricultural development and have not been suitable for the new rural reconstruction in western areas and the sustainable development of agriculture. The theory of Recycle Economy has provided the powerful theory weapon for the agricultural development as it has matured gradually. Recycle Agriculture is not only one kind of new pattern formed when the concept of Recycle Economy has been applied to agricultural production domain, but also an emerging agricultural development theory based on the theory of Recycle Economy. According to the research on theory and the practice, the development of recycle agriculture is an inevitable choice for the development of western agriculture and the road which the newrural reconstruction of western areas must take. So it is very necessary to establish a completely theoretical analysis frame for constantly summarizing the questions in reality purposefully and dimensionally, making scientific abstract and forming the guiding ideology for instructing the movement of agricultural economy and the entire activities of rural economy to provide effective theory tools and methods for the solution of realistic questions. This article attempts to construct a theoretical analysis frame for the development of recycle agriculture which is complete, scientific and standard, and with the instruction of this analysis frame, it does research on the issues of the development of recycle agriculture and on how to protect ecology, save resources, reduce environmental pollution and seek the new pathway for the development of agriculture, the wealthy of fanners and the harmony of rural areas while promoting the growth in agricultural economy.This article constructs the theoretical analysis frame for development of recycle agriculture with multi-disciplinary knowledge and methods and does empirical research on the development of recycle agriculture in western areas. This paper altogether has nine chapters, including four parts:

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