【作者】 徐辉；

【导师】 唐德善；

【作者基本信息】 河海大学 ， 技术经济及管理， 2006， 博士

【摘要】 改革开放以来,我国经济在快速增长的同时,表现为“高投入、高消耗、低效率”的典型粗放型的高代价增长模式,资源约束和各种社会矛盾日益突出。尽管我国目前每年取得科技成果3万余项,然而,科技对经济的贡献率远远低于西方发达国家,即使与发展中国家相比,我国也处于劣势,科技创新资源的巨大浪费是造成我国经济增长粗放型的重要原因之一。科技进步对经济增长的贡献,在一定意义上表现为科技成果转化为现实生产力的程度,在知识经济和世界经济一体化背景下,基于科学发展观与绿色GDP(GGDP)思想,针对我国科技成果转化与经济增长的问题情境,运用经济学、管理学、现代数学等理论与方法,从宏观和微观两方面,根据我国基本国情,对我国科技成果转化机制进行了理论分析,建立了风险机制网络结构模型和动态平衡模型;研究出了利益驱动是当前成果转化赖以形成和发展的基本动力,成果转化各方在“投资、风险分担,收益共享”原则下的合作,可有效降低转化风险,政府支持和正确引导是成果转化得以成功实施的关键。同时,根据宏观生产函数推导出了适合我国国情的低代价经济增长的理论模型,建立了成果转化过程中,合作伙伴收益有效分配机制的数理模型,基于灰色关联度理论就我国科技成果转化对经济增长效应进行了计量经济学分析。就科技成果转化对经济增长正负两方面效应,运用经济学的相关原理进行了较为深入的分析和研究,提出了“走可持续科技成果转化之路,实现绿色科技进步”的创新思想。运用实证、规范、定性、定量、比较等分析方法,演绎出我国必须通过技术创新、管理创新和制度创新,充分发挥科技成果转化为现实生产力的特殊作用,推动整个宏观生产函数上移,抵消“边际收益递减”效应,实现整个宏观经济报酬的不断提高,即“边际收益递增”效应,进而促进我国经济持续、健康、稳定增长的结论。更多还原

【Abstract】 Thanks to the Chinese reform and openness policy, the economy in our country has been growing rapidly. Meanwhile, the typical extensive high-cost growth pattern characterized as more input and consumption, yet lower efficiency, resource restraints and all kinds of social contradictions become more and more obvious. Every year, more than 30 thousand pieces of scientific and technological achievements were produced at present, but the contribution rate of the science and technology to economy is far lower the western developed countries. Even compare with the developing countries, the contribution rate in our country is inferior. The huge waste of the scientific and technological innovating resource is one of the significant causes of the economic extensive growth. The contribution of scientific and technological progress to the economic growth shows as the achievements of science and technology transforming into real productivity at a certain degree. Under the background of the knowledge economy and the integration of world economy, based on the view of scientific development and the idea of the green gross domestic product (GGDP), focusing on the problem situation of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements and economic growth, from the macroscopic aspect and microscopic aspect, this paper applies the theories and methods of economics, management and modern mathematics to analysis the mechanism of transformation of scientific and technological achievements in theory according to our national fundamental situation. Then the internet structure model and dynamic equilibrium model of the risk mechanism were established. It is concluded that profit driving is the fundamental driving force of formalization and development of current transformation of the achievements. It is also clear that the co-operation under the principle of investment, risk distribution and returns sharing of all sides of the transformation of achievements can efficiently decrease the risk of transformation. The support and correct guidance of the government is the key to the successful implementation of transformation of achievements. At the same time, the low-cost economic growth theory model fitting to our national situation is derived with macroscopic production function. Mathematical model of efficient distributing mechanism of the returns between the co-operative partners is established in the process of transformation of achievements. Based on the theory of grey relational degree, the effects of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements to economic growth were analyzed by applying economic-metrics. As to the positive and negative effects of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements to the economic growth, this paper has made a deep analysis and research by applying the related principles of economics and put forward the innovative idea of going along the path of sustainable transformation of science and technology achievements and realizing green progress of science and technology. Through the analytical methods of positive analysis, standardization, quality, quantity, comparison etc, it is deducted that only through technology innovation, management innovation and institution innovation, folly playing the special role of the scientific and technological achievements transforming into real productivity, we can promote the whole macroscopic production function to move up and countervail the effect of marginal return descending, continuously elevate the reward of the whole macroscopic economy, which equals to the effect of marginal return increasing, further to promote the economic of our country to increase continuously, healthily and stably.更多还原