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矿区可持续发展的系统分析与评价

A System Analysis and Assessment of Mining Areas’ Sustainable Development

【作者】 耿殿明

【导师】 姜福兴;

【作者基本信息】 山东科技大学 , 矿业工程, 2003, 博士

【摘要】 本文依托我国煤炭资源开发与矿区发展的实际背景和国内外的相关研究成果,并受科技部国家软科学研究项目《资源开采与环境保护及可持续发展的模式研究》(项目编号:K2000-10-02)的支持,在正确认识可持续发展战略思想内涵与系统构成的基础上,采用从定性到定量综合集成的方法,对矿区可持续发展中的若干复杂问题,进行了深入系统的研究和分析。 在分析归纳出矿区三个基本特征的同时,首次给出了矿区类型的一个完备划分,并建立了矿区RESE系统的概念模型,为论文后续研究框定出轮廓清晰的主题范围,从而提高了选题研究的精准性和有效性。 成功地将系统科学和自组织理论应用于揭示矿区的发展演化规律,认清了矿区发展演化的动力机制、演化特征、演化方向和调控机制,为矿区可持续发展的系统分析奠定了理论基础,并以此提出了矿区可持续发展的概念、内涵及目标。 以矿区发展的分层递阶结构为模板,建立了综合测度矿区可持续发展的指标体系。与此同时,基于多目标系统模糊优选理论,建立起熵权与专家赋权共同支持下的多层次多目标模糊综合测度模型,以及基于主分量分析与计量经济学理论的矿区RESE系统“持续-协调”测度模型,为矿区可持续发展的动态纵横评价提供了必要的量化工具。 将所建立的矿区可持续发展理论与方法应用于兖州矿区,在完成对实证案例发展过程动态分析的同时,使评价理论和方法得到应用性检验。 按照矿区可持续发展的目标要求,立足我国煤炭矿区的现状实际,深入系统地探讨了矿区可持续发展战略模式的选择与实现途径,并提出相应的可执行性对策措施。 本研究中取得的一些重要成果,已写成学术论文并公开发表。

【Abstract】 Supported by relative research results and actual settings of our country’s coal resource exploitation and mining areas’ development, and based on the exactly comprehending of the ideological intension and systematic structure of sustainable development, this paper made a deep and systemic exploring and analyzing for several complex problems of the mining areas’ sustainable development adopting an integrating approach from qualitative to quantitative analysis. The subject is also sustained by soft science projects "The Models of Resources Exploitation, Environmental Protection and Sustainable Development" from Science and Technology Ministry (No.K2000- 10-02).After inducing the three basic characteristics of a mining area, the paper offers a rounded categorizing for mining areas for the first time and establishes a conceptual model of the mining area’s RESE system so as to outline a clear theme frame for the paper’s later researching work, thus the effectiveness and exactness of the selected research issues are improved.With successfully applying system science and the self-organization theory in revealing the evolving and developing tracks of a mining area, the dynamic mechanism, evolution characteristics, evolving directions and the regulating and controlling mechanisms of a mining area which underlay the system analysis of a mining area’s sustainable development are conceived clearly, then the concept, intension and goals of a mining area’s sustainable development are put forward.Based on the template of fractioning recursion of mining areas’ development, an indicator system for compounded measuring mining areas’ sustainable development is established. And based on the fuzzy optimizing selection theory of multi-objectives system, a multi-levels multi-objectives fuzzy integrative measurement model together supported by entropy weighting and expert weighting is established. Then based on the main component analysis and the theory of econometrics, a continuance - harmony measurement model of mining areas’ RESE system is established. All these models provide necessary quantifying tools for dynamic, vertical and horizontal assessment of mining areas’ sustainable development.The established theory and methods of mining areas’ sustainable development are applied in Yanzhou mining areas. The assessment theory and methods are applicably tested after dynamic analyzing the developing processes of the empirical case.According to the goal demand of a mining area’s sustainable development and based on the conditions status quo of our country’s coal mining areas, selected modes and realization paths of the strategy for a mining area’s sustainable development are discussed deeply and systematically, then the corresponding enforcing countermeasures and policies are put forward.Some important and core results of the study have been published publicly.

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