【作者】 朱健梅；

【导师】 杜文；

【作者基本信息】 西南交通大学 ， 交通运输规划与管理， 2002， 博士

【摘要】 实施西部大开发可以从整体上提高我国经济实力，保持国民经济健康持续发展，西部大开发，经济大发展，交通需先行。因此，西南地区交通运输发展战略问题，是当前我国急需解决的重大问题，也是交通运输领域研究的难点问题之一。本论文在系统分析国内外交通运输发展趋势的基础上，借鉴国外交通运输发展战略的成功经验，结合中国实际，对我国交通运输如何适应和促进西南地区经济发展，交通运输如何适应可持续发展要求，运输结构优化及运输通道优化选择等问题进行了系统深入的研究。其主要成果如下： (1)系统分析了西南地区经济和交通运输现状，探讨了该地区经济发展落后和交通运输滞后的主要原因，明确提出了西南地区交通运输必须适当超前和持续发展的观点，在区域交通发展研究时考虑到发展旅游交通，并与整体规划协调，以适应和拉动西南地区的经济发展。 (2)深入分析了交通运输对国民经济发展的作用与影响，以及对交通运输对资源、能源、环境的负面影响。论文在对比分析国内外交通占用资源、能源、环境影响等数据的基础上，分析了国内资源、能源和环境现状，首次提出我国应建立资源节约型和环境保护型的可持续交通运输发展模式。 (3)对运输结构优化可行性、重要性进行了分析，首次用层次分析法构建了涵盖整个交通运输领域问题的结构优化指标体系和结构优化数学模型，实现了定性基础上的定量分析。 (4)运输通道是一个国家、地区之间大宗人员与货物交流必须解决的最主要的运输问题之一，运输通道建设规划是我国逐步完善综合运输体系的重要环节。本文对综合运输通道的含义、功能及运输通道优化选择等问题进行了详细论述，首次应用博弈理论建立了运输通道选择优化数学模型，为运输通道的选择提供了理论依据。 (5)论文提出了西南地区发展战略重点是建设大运量的运输通道，而运输通道建设以铁路干线建设为重点，省市区交通建设以公路为重点，水运建设以黄金水道建设为重点，民航以发展旅游支线为重点。 本论文的研究成果对西南地区交通运输发展战略的制定有重要参考价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 The implement of western development can improve our national economic power as a whole and keep the economy to develop continuously and healthily. But the traffic must be developed first during the western development and economic development. Therefore it is of great importance and urgent to solve the strategic problem of traffic and transportation development in southwestern area,which is also one of the difficulties in traffic and transportation research field. Based on a systematic study of current development both domestic and abroad,using the advanced experiences in the world as references and according to the real situation in southwestern area,a deep research work has been done in this paper. The research work is focused on how to make our country’s traffic and transportation system adapt to the economic development and speed up the development,how to make the system meet the requirement of continuous development,as well as how to optimize of the system itself and transport channels selection. The main achievements are as follows:(l)The current economic and traffic situation in southwestern area has been studied and the main reasons why this area has been lag behind are discussed. It is pointed out that the traffic and transportation system in this area should be developed properly in advance and keep on continuous. Travelling traffic should be taken into account during area traffic development research,and it should be cooperate with the whole plan to adapt to and drive the economic development.(2) The influence and effect of traffic and transportation having on national economic development as well as its negative effect on sources,energy and environment are analyzed. The data of sources and energy occupied by traffic and environment influence between domestic and abroad are compared,therefore it is pointed out for the first time that a continuous developing traffic and transportation mode of source-saving and environment-protecting type should be set up according to the analysis of our country’s real situation.(3) The flexibility and importance of transportation structure optimization are analyzed. A structure optimization criterion system and a structure optimization mathematics model that can cover all the problems in the traffic and transportation system are established for the first time with layer analysis method. A quantitative analysis is realized on the basis of qualitative analysis.(4) Transport channel is one of the most primary problems related to massive people and cargo communication,and the plan of transport channelsconstruction is an important link when we come to improve our comprehensive transportation system The meaning and functions of comprehensive transport channels,as well as the selection of transport channels optimization are discussed in the paper in detail. The gambling and chess theory has been applied to establish the mathematics model of transport channel selecting optimization for the first time,providing a theoretical foundation for the transport channels selection. (5) It is presented in this paper that the strategic emphasis in southwestern area is to build massive freight volume transport channels. And the construction of transport channels should lay emphasis on main railroads,while the urban traffic should emphasized on highways,water transportation on main rivers,as well as civil aviation on travelling extensions.The research achievements in this paper are valuable for the strategy of traffic and transportation development in southwestern area.更多还原