【作者】 任志娟；

【导师】 王文举；

【作者基本信息】 首都经济贸易大学 ， 数量经济学， 2014， 博士

【摘要】 围绕着二氧化碳排放权的全球博弈上演的越来越激烈，究其原因来自于背后的巨大利益之争。二氧化碳减排经济成本较高，对经济发展的影响也较为负面。正因如此，碳排放权在一定程度上代表着生存和发展的权利。作为世界上二氧化碳排放量最大的中国，在面临着国际和国内的双重压力下，提出了自身的二氧化碳减排目标。中国二氧化碳排放的现状是不仅排放总量高，而且各地区的碳排放极不均衡，碳排放的不均衡会造成不同的省份和地区在碳减排任务分配时存在较大的地区利益冲突。中国的二氧化碳减排不仅是要降低二氧化碳排放总量，更需要在降低碳排放总量下解决地区发展的不平衡问题，降低碳排放总量的同时还要避免地区间的经济发展以及碳排放差异的扩大，促进各地区协调发展。把握影响二氧化碳排放的具体因素及其在各地区的差异，分析碳排放区域差异在时间和空间上的演变，寻求不同地区碳减排的实施路径，构建区域碳排放平衡机制，降低减排总成本的同时促进区域社会经济平衡发展是摆在我们面前的重大任务。鉴于此，本文所做工作如下：分析我国二氧化碳排放区域差异的具体表象。利用多指标面板数据聚类分析方法对我国碳排放进行区域划分；基于相对剥夺理论构建碳排放区域差异测度指标，衡量区域间的碳排放差异及其随时间的演变。探究我国二氧化碳区域差异产生的原因，制定差异化的减排实施路径。基于全国面板数据计量方法分析碳排放的影响因素并探究不同地区碳排放差异形成的原因，基于地区面板数据计量分析提出不同地区的碳减排实施路径，结合碳减排机制的发展与演变，从区域差异视角分析减排机制中存在的问题。研究两种碳减排机制，清洁发展机制和碳税机制，对于不同地区的企业的减排效果或影响。从上市公司资金效应的角度，对清洁发展机制的减排效果，尤其是对于不同地区、不同规模的企业的减排效果进行实证分析；利用竞争博弈模型分析开征碳税及其补贴下对于经济发达地区和不发达地区厂商的产量、利润以及社会福利的影响。为我国协调区域差异下的二氧化碳减排任务的完成提出建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The debate concerning the global chess game of carbon dioxide emissions is more andmore fierce, which is caused by huge benefits driven by it.Costs of carbon dioxideemissions are higher, and it also exerts more negative influence on economic development.Because of this, to a certain extent, carbon emission represents the rights of survival anddevelopment. Facing the international and domestic pressure, China, as one of the world’slargest carbon dioxide emission countries, has put forward its own reduction targets oncarbon dioxide emissions. At present, carbon dioxide emission of China is not only high,but also has suffered the regional imbalance. The imbalance of carbon emissions will leadto the problem of profit collision on the task allocation to reduce emissions amongdifferent provinces and regions. China’s carbon dioxide emissions is not only to reducetotal carbon dioxide emissions, there are more needs to solve the unbalancing regionaldevelopment by reducing it. While reducing total carbon emissions and avoiding theexpansion of the differences on economic development and carbon emissions, China alsoneeds to promote coordinated progress of different areas.Therefore, we need to grasp the specific factors that affect carbon dioxide emissionsand its regional differences, analyze the regional differences of carbon emissions onevolution of time and space, seek the routes to implement the carbon emissions on differentregions, build regional carbon balance mechanism, reduce the total cost of the emissionreduction, as well as,at the same time, promote the balanced development of regionalsocial economy. In view of this, this paper work will do the followings:Analyze the specific representation of regional differences on carbon dioxideemissions. We will make full use of the clustering analysis of multivariable panel data tomake the regional division on carbon dioxide emissions. With reference to relativedeprivation theory, we have also constructed the measurement index of regionaldifferences on carbon emissions to evaluate the carbon emissions of regional differencesand its evolution over time.Explore China’s causes of regional differences on carbon dioxide. Using the nationalpanel data econometrics method to analyses of the influencing factors of carbon emissionsand studying on the cause of the differences on carbon emissions in different areas, basedon the regional panel data econometrics method, we will put forward the implementationof strategy on carbon reduction in different regions, and find out the existing problems of the regional differences, which is combined with the historical evolution on the CarbonReduction Mechanism.Study on the effects of both Clean Development Mechanism and Carbon EmissionTaxation on the emission reduction for enterprises in different areas. From the perspectiveof the funds of listed companies, we will do the empirical analysis on the effect of carbonemission among the different areas and different sizes of enterprises, and also make use ofthe Game Theory to analyze the influences of introduction of the Carbon EmissionTaxation and subsides on production, profit and social welfare of the economic developedregions and underdeveloped regions and put forward the countermeasures and suggestionsto coordinate the regional economic development and narrow the difference of regionalcarbon emissions.更多还原