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京津冀城市群产业优化与城市进化协调发展研究

Research on Coordinated Development of Urban Evolution and Industrial Optimization in Jingjinji Urban Agglomeration

【作者】 刘建朝

【导师】 高素英;

【作者基本信息】 河北工业大学 , 技术经济及管理, 2013, 博士

【摘要】 经济社会大转型是新世纪中国最突出的国情。制度、经济、社会等方面都将发生显著变革,特别是以近距离、高密度及浅分割为变量的空间重构也是这一变革的重要方面。区域经济加速一体化、生产要素快速集聚与生产专业化分工日益精细所导致的新型地域体日渐形成并不断发展,主次分明、分工明确、协同演进的以若干大城市为核心的城市群日益成为我国区域经济发展的主要形式。京津冀区域社会经济已进入全面快速发展阶段,通过加快城市发展和重构城市空间体系推进城市化进程、通过促进产业结构升级来提升区域竞争力和引导地区协调发展是我国新时期区域发展的重要特征和客观要求。国内外典型城市群的发展轨迹已经证明,任何城市群的发展都有其内在规律,这种规律在产业层面上与产业发展的演进轨迹相切合。在发展的某个时期或者某几个时期,由于产业发展的力量推动,可能获得较快的发展,但一个发展快速的城市不会无限期维持其高速增长势头,它必定会减慢其速度,时快时慢,周而复始,最终被新的增长点所取代。在这一过程中,城市逐渐进化,向着功能完善的高端化发展,产业逐渐优化,两者在互动协调中带动整个城市群的发展,即:依靠产业优化与城市进化“双轮驱动”,以此促进城市群经济的可持续协调发展。深入研究城市进化与产业结构演变相互作用对我国加快空间发展,特别是京津冀城市群的协调发展具有重要的理论价值和实际意义。本文研究设计总体上按照规范分析、实证研究两个层次展开,二者相互印证,形成逻辑统一、结构完整的有机组合。本文的主要创新性工作如下:构建城市群下产业优化与城市进化理论框架。通过梳理国内外研究文献发现,目前鲜有“城市进化”的研究,也未发现城市群中城市进化与产业优化的研究。本文基于前人的研究成果,对产业优化、城市进化的概念进行初步界定,在此基础上,构建城市群产业优化与城市进化的理论模型,即:在城市群空间内,产业优化是城市进化的动力源泉,城市进化是产业优化的支撑保证。并剖析了其作用机制,包括专业化分工与外部经济性、规模经济和范围经济、工业化和城市化进程、经济全球化与区域经济一体化进程、制度安排和政府政策等。采用经济联系强度与城市流两大模型界定京津冀城市群的空间范围。在对城市群空间联系的研究中,对于京津冀城市群的研究并不多见。本文综合采用经济联系强度与城市流两大模型,分别从区域和产业两大维度,对京津冀城市群空间联系进行实证研究,同时以国内外著名学者对城市群的界定为准绳,定量界定京津冀城市群的空间范围为“2+8”:即北京、天津、唐山、秦皇岛、承德、张家口、保定、廊坊、石家庄、沧州。采用空间交互效应模型对京津冀城市群产业优化与城市进化进行实证研究。当前研究对于空间交互效应的研究还很罕见。采用基于空间交互效应的空间面板数据模型的影响机制,并对京津冀城市群产业优化和城市进化进行了深入系统研究。结果表明:在京津冀城市群长期经济增长中,除人力资本、城市进化对具有较强的负向影响外,其余变量均具有正向促进作用,其中物质资本、非国有经济发展因素的影响最为突出,其次为产业优化,再次为FDI、R&D。人力资本和城市进化的促进作用未得到充分发挥。产业优化与城市进化在京津冀城市群的经济增长中具有完全不同的作用,发展水平很不协调。采用Arc GIS方法对京津冀城市群进行空间重塑。分别对产业优化与城市进化进行ArcGIS分析,并将京津冀城市群的空间定位为“多增长极多发展轴的圈层产业”结构。并以此对京津冀城市群的城市空间重塑为:综合运输网络——“三中心网络式”;时空距离——“一小时都市圈”;城镇布局——功能差异的城镇群。产业空间重构为:多增长极、主辅发展轴、圈层产业分布等。

【Abstract】 The transformation of the economy and the society is the most prominently nationalcondition in the new century in China. The systems,economy, society and other aspectswill happen the significant changes. Particularly, the space reconstruction will be theimportant change based on the variables of the distance, density and segmentation. The newless-regional body, which is caused by the integration of the regional economy, the rapidagglomeration of the production factors, and the greater refinement of the specializationdivision of labor in the production, is emerging and continues to develop. The urbanagglomerations focused on several large cities, which make a distinction between theimportant and the lesser one, and clearly divide the labor and co-evolve, is increasinglybecoming the main form in the development of the regional economy in China. TheBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration has already entered the rapid developmentstage. It is the important features and objective requirements of the regional development inthe new era in China to promote the process of urbanization by accelerating the urbandevelopment and reconstructing the urban space system, and to enhance thecompetitiveness of the region and guide the coordinative development of the region bypromoting the development of the industrial structure.The development trajectory of the typical urban agglomeration at home and abroad hasalso been proved that any development of the region has its inherent laws, and these laws atthe industry level meet the evolution of the industrial development. In a certaindevelopment period or several development periods, the region may develop fast because ofthe promotion of the industry. But a fast-growing city will not indefinitely maintain itsmomentum of the rapid development. It will slow down the speed, and be faster or slower,again and again, and ultimately replaced by a new growth. In this process, the citygradually evolves and develops to a full-featured high end, and the industry is graduallyoptimized. In the interactive coordination, both of them lead the development of the wholeregion, namely, the urban agglomeration economy relies on the "two-wheeled drive " fromthe industrial optimization and the urban evolution to promote the sustainable andcoordinated development. It will play a significant role in the theory and reality to in-depthresearch the interaction between the city evolution of the Urban Agglomeration and theevolution of the industrial structure in China for accelerating the space development,especially for the coordinative development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei UrbanAgglomeration.The research of this paper is designed from two points. They are the normativeanalysis and the empirical research, which are confirmed by each other, and form anorganic whole with the identical logic and the strict structure. The main innovative work as follows:The theoretical framework of the industrial optimization and the urban evolutionin urban agglomerations is formed. Through looking over the literatures of both insideand outside China, the research on the industrial optimization and the urban evolution inurban agglomerations has not been found in the rare research about the urban evolution.Based on the results of previous studies, this paper defines the concept of the industrialoptimization and the urban evolution, and sets up the theory model of the industryoptimization and the urban evolution in urban agglomerations, that is: in the space of urbanagglomerations, the industrial optimization is the power source of urban evolution and theurban evolution is the supportive guarantee of the industrial optimization. Furthermore, thispaper analyses its functional mechanism, including the specialization division of labor andthe external economy, the economy of scale and the economy of scope, the process of theindustrialization and the urbanization, the process of the economic globalization and theregional economic integration, the system arrangements and government policies and etc..The spatial extent of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration is defined byusing the Economic Relation Intensity Model and Urban Stream Model. The researchon Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration is rare in the literature about the spatialrelation. This paper conducts the empirical research about the space relationship ofBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration by using the Economic Relation IntensityModel and Urban Stream Model from the dimension of the region and the industry. Thispaper takes the definition of famous scholars on urban agglomerations as the criterion,defines the space range of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration as “2+8”, that isBeijing, Tianjin, Tangshan, Qinhuangdao, Chengde, Zhangjiakou, Baoding, Langfang,Shijiazhuang and Cangzhou.The empirical research on the industry optimization and the urban evolution ofBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration is carried out by using the SpatialInteraction Models. The current study about space interaction is very rare. In this paper,the industry optimization and the urban evolution are studied deeply based on theSpace-sectional Data Model about Space interaction. The result shows that in thedevelopment of the economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration, except of HRand the urban evolution which have strong negative effects, others all promote thedevelopment. Of these, the physical capital and economic factors of non-stated-owned areprominent, next comes the industry optimization and then FDI and R&D. The stimulationeffect of HR and the urban evolution does not fully realize. In the development of theeconomy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration, the industry optimization and theurban evolution play different roles, but do not develop harmoniously.The space of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration is reshaped by usingArc GIS. This paper analyses the industry optimization and the urban evolution by using Arc GIS, and defines the space structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration asthe structure of the circle industry with the multi-pole of the growth and the multi-axis ofthe development. And then the space of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration isreshaped in this paper as following: The comprehensive transport network-a Network withThree Hubs, the space distance-One Hour Metropolitan Region, and the town layout-theTown Complex with Different Functions. The space of the industry is reshaped to themulti-pole of growth, the primary and the secondary axis of development, the industry withcircle layout and etc..

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