【作者】 李婷婷；

【导师】 王兆君；

【作者基本信息】 东北林业大学 ， 林业经济管理， 2012， 博士

【摘要】 在全球气候变暖的趋势下,减少二氧化碳排放成为人类可持续发展进程中的一项重要任务。高投入、高消耗、高污染的高碳经济已经走入末路,以低耗能、低排放、低污染为基础的低碳经济成为未来最具潜力和竞争力的经济发展模式,并对能源、产业、技术、贸易等各个领域产生深远影响。森林自身特有的自然属性,使其在发展低碳经济上具有先天优势,但从全球来看林业依然是高碳产业,林区依然沿袭着高碳经济模式,因此,转变林业经营方式和林区经济增长方式,走低碳化道路,是发挥森林资源吸碳固碳优势,推动林区经济、社会、资源可持续增长的必然选择。本研究以黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展诉求为切入点,考量了黑龙江国有森工林区的经济发展模式,通过实证分析得出当前林区以高碳经济发展模式为主。在理论研究和实证分析的基础上,构建了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式,为黑龙江国有森工林区建设资源节约型和环境友好型社会提供了可实现的途径。最后研究了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式实施的保障机制。本文的第一部分是绪论和理论研究,包括两章内容。绪论介绍了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式的研究背景、目的、意义；国内外相关研究及其评价、研究思路、主要内容、研究方法和技术路线以及本文的创新点。通过对循环经济理论、低碳经济理论、区域经济理论、生态经济理论和林业经济理论进行研究,并结合林区实际情况,构建了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式研究的理论框架。第二部分是国内外低碳经济发展比较研究。通过介绍和分析世界上典型的几个国家低碳经济发展情况和国内低碳项目,为黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式的构建提供经验借鉴。第三部分是实证研究,包括两章内容。首先论述了全球气候变暖、二氧化碳排放量增加与人类社会经济发展的关系,探索低碳发展之路是实现人类可持续发展的必由之路。从森林自身特殊的自然属性出发,论述其在吸收二氧化碳上发挥着不可替代的作用,但是从全球来看,林业作为一个产业依然是高碳产业,林区作为一个经济发展整体依然沿袭高碳经济发展模式。运用KAYA模型,对黑龙江国有森工林区二氧化碳排放量进行测算,考量了当前林区的经济发展模式。进一步分析黑龙江国有森工林区碳排放的驱动要素,并运用多元回归,对黑龙江国有森工林区两大碳排放主要驱动要素——经济发展和能源强度进行更深入的实证分析,得出工业发展水平、林业发展水平和产业结构优化程度对黑龙江国有森工林区经济发展起着显著作用,能源消费结构和技术进步则对黑龙江国有森工林区能源强度起着重要影响。通过实证分析,黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式的构建应该以产业结构的升级和能源结构的调整为重点。最后一部分是应用研究,包括两章内容。首先,在理论研究和实证研究的基础上,以低碳经济发展内容为依据,以碳排放主要驱动要素为重点,构建了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式——森林培育生态化模式、森林碳汇模式、森林生态旅游休闲模式、森林生态文化产业模式、林产工业低碳重塑模式、产业结构低碳调整模式、清洁能源开发利用模式、人居生活低碳导向模式。这八个模式各有侧重点,最终促进黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济的发展。然后论述了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式运作的保障机制,通过政府引导的推动机制、企业创新的牵引机制、政策倾斜的催化机制、技术支持的动力机制、人才聚敛的保障机制来保障黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式的有效运行。通过本文的研究得到以下结论：当前黑龙江国有森工林区以高碳经济发展模式为主。为了实现林区的转型和可持续发展,林区需要转变经济增长方式,走低碳发展之路。本文在理论和实证研究的基础上构建了黑龙江国有森工林区低碳经济发展模式,为林区低碳经济发展提供了可实现的路径。更多还原

【Abstract】 With the trend of global warming, reducing carbon dioxide emissions as an important task in the process of sustainable development. The high-carbon economy with high investment, high consumption and high pollution has come to the end. The low-carbon economy based on low energy consumption, low emission and low pollution is becoming to the most potential and competitive mode of economic development in the future, which have a far-reaching impact on energy, industry, technology and trade. Forest has inherent advantage on developing the low-carbon economy because of its special natural attributes. From the whole world, forestry is still a high-carbon industry, and forest region also still carries on high-carbon economic development mode. So, changing forestry operations and economy growth mode, taking the low-carbon economic development mode, is the necessary choice of taking advantage of forest resources suck and solid carbon and promoting economy, society, resources for sustainable growth.Taking Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region appeals for the low-carbon economy as the breakthrough point, the paper measures the economic development mode of it. Empirical research shows that at present Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region still carries on high-carbon economic development mode. So, based on the theoretical and empirical research, the paper constructs the low-carbon economic development mode of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region, which provides the way to realize the construction for forest resource conservation and environment friendly society of it. Finally the paper researches the security mechanism for the low-carbon economic development mode.The first parts are the introduction and theoretical research, which has two chapters. The introduction includes the background, purpose, and significance of research, the related literatures and review them, the thought and main contents of research, the methods, the technical route, as well as the innovations. Then, with the actual situation in forest areas, based on theories of low-carbon economy, cyclic economy, ecological economy, regional economy, forestry economy, constructs the theoretical framework for the low-carbon economic development mode of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region.The second part is comparative study. The paper taking the development of low-carbon economy of typical countries and some low-carbon project of China as examples in order to provide experiences for constructing the low-carbon economic development mode of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region.The third part is empirical research, which has two chapters. Through discussing the relations between global warming, carbon dioxide emissions and human social and economic development, the paper gets the argumentation about the low-carbon economic development mode is the only way of achieving sustainable development. Forest has inherent advantage on developing the low-carbon economy because of its special natural attributes. From the whole world, forestry is still a high-carbon industry, and forest region also still carries on high carbon economic development mode. The paper uses KAYA model to estimate the carbon dioxide emissions of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region. Research shows that it still carries on high-carbon economic development mode. Continue to analyze driving factors of the carbon dioxide emissions by KAYA model. Then, using regression analysis, the paper researches influence factors of major driving factors of carbon dioxide emission. The result shows the development of industry, the development of forestry and the optimization of industrial organization play an important part for economic development. It also shows the structure of energy consumption and technological progress play vital influence to energy intensity. Based on these empirical analysis, the low-carbon economic development mode of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region should be focus on the upgrading of industrial structure and adjustment of energy structure.The last part is applied research, which also has two chapters. Basing on the theoretical research and empirical research, according to the content of developing low-carbon economy and focusing on major driving factors, this part constructs the low-carbon economic development mode, such as the forest ecological cultivation mode, the forest carbon sinks mode, the forest eco-tourism and leisure mode, the forest eco-cultural industry mode, the forest products industry rebuilding mode, the low-carbon industrial structure adjustment mode, the clean energy development and utilization mode and the low carbon life-oriented mode. These eight modes focus on different part, and the aim is to promote the low-carbon economic development of Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region. Finally, the paper researches the security mechanism for the low-carbon economic development mode, which contains the government-led mechanism, the enterprise innovation mechanism, the policy trend mechanism, the technical support mechanism, the talent amassed protection mechanism.Conclusion of the research:at present, Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region still carries on high-carbon economic development mode. In order to realize the economic transformation and sustainable development, Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region needs the low-carbon economic development mode. Basing on the theoretical and empirical research, this paper constructs the low-carbon economic development mode, which provides the way to realize the development of the low-carbon economy in Heilongjiang state-owned forest industry region.更多还原