【作者】 刘洁；

【导师】 傅利平；

【作者基本信息】 天津大学 ， 技术经济及管理， 2012， 博士

【摘要】 战略性新兴产业是新兴科技和新兴产业的深度融合，是我国经济发展的未来支柱和国家科技、国家安全的依托。战略性新兴产业的跨越式发展是我国在国际竞争中利用最短的时间接近并赶超发达国家的唯一出路。战略性新兴产业不仅具有战略地位，对经济社会发展和国家安全具有重大意义；同时，这些产业着眼未来，将成为国家发展的未来方向。本文对战略性新兴产业进行了概念界定，分析了我国战略性新兴产业的发展动态和瓶颈问题；对知识位势、技术跨越能力进行了概念辨析和理论述评。在此基础上，提出了战略性新兴产业知识位势体系和技术跨越能力体系的构建；分析了知识位势体系、技术跨越和行业竞争力的相关关系。首先，在分析知识位势中知识转移、知识存量积累的基础上，建立了基于知识获取能力、知识学习能力、知识整合能力和知识创新能力的四维知识位势体系；通过建立结构方程模型并提出假设命题，并在PASW和AMOS软件验证的基础上，得到四个维度之间的相关关系以及四个维度对知识位势的正相关影响的结论；其次，对战略性新兴产业的技术跨越能力建立了理论模型并提出假设命题，其中包括技术能力跨越和市场能力跨越两个决定因素和技术跨越模式、技术跨越路径以及技术跨越机会三个影响因素；通过建立理论模型和提出命题假设，在PASW和AMOS软件验证的基础上，得到两个决定因素之间的相关关系，以及五个因素对技术跨越的正相关影响的结论；再次，对战略性新兴产业的行业竞争力进行了基于神经网络和支持向量机的评价，结论为支持向量机更适合行业竞争力评价，同时验证了本文提出的评价指标的正确性。在此基础上，通过建立整体理论模型和假设命题，得到技术跨越能力对行业竞争力存在正相关影响，以及知识位势通过技术跨越能力对行业竞争力产生正相关影响的结论。最后，以天津市生物医药产业为例，结合得到的结论，给出了相关的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The strategic new enterprise is deeply essential amalgamation of new Scientifics and new enterprises. It is the future pillar of Chinese economic development and important support of the national technology and safety. The leapfrogging developments of strategic new industries are the only way for us to close to and catch up developed countries in shortest time. The strategic new enterprises have great significance to the national economy-society development and safety. They face the future and will be the future direction of national development.This paper defined the concept of strategic new industries and analyzed development trends and bottleneck problems of strategic new industries. Concept discrimination and theory review were made for knowledge potential and technological leapfrogging ability. This paper built the knowledge potential system and technological leapfroggong ability system for strategic new industries, and analyzed the correlation of knowledge potential, technological leapfrogging ability and competitiveness.Firstly, based on the study of knowledge transferring and knowledge stock accumulation, four-dimension analyzing system (knowledge acquisition, knowledge learning, knowledge integration and knowledge innovation) of strategic new industies were built. The model of the system was built and related hypotheses were given. By the software of PASW and AMOS, the four dimensions’correlations and the relation with knowledge potential were verified.Secondly, the theoretical framework of technological leapfrogging ability for strategic new industries was built and the the theoretical assumptions were designed. This model had two decision factors (technological ability leapfrogging, market ability leapfrogging) and three influencing factors (technological leapfrogging mode, technological leapfrogging road and technological leapfrogging chance). The software PASW and AMOS testified the two decision factors had positive correlation and the five factors had positive influence on technological leapfrogging ability.Thirdly, this paper used neural network and support vector machine to evaluate competitiveness of strategic new industries. The evaluation conclusion showed that support vector machine was suitable for the evaluation and the evaluation indexes in this paper were correct. The whole model of knowledge potential, technological leapfrogging ability and competitiveness was built and the theoretical assumptions were given. The analysis results indicated that technological leapfrogging ability had positive influence on competitiveness and knowledge potential influented competitiveness indirectly by technological leapfrogging ability.At last, a typical case of Tianjin bio-pharmaceutical industry was studied. Based on the above conclusions, some policy suggestions were given.更多还原