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稀土资源产业竞争力指标体系构建及动态评价

The Construction and Dynamic Evaluation of Rare Earth Resources Industy Competitiveness Index System

【作者】 陈果

【导师】 张寿庭;

【作者基本信息】 中国地质大学(北京) , 资源产业经济, 2012, 博士

【摘要】 稀土作为一组同时具有电、磁、光以及生物等多种特性的新型功能材料,是国防建设、信息技术、生物技术及能源技术等高新技术领域的重要原材料,同时也对改造某些传统产业,如农业、化工、建材等起着重要作用.我国是目前世界上稀土储量最为丰富的国家,国内稀土储量占全球1/3,并承担了供应世界绝大多数稀土资源的角色。新中国成立特别是改革开放30余年来,我国稀土产业取得了举世瞩目的成绩。但是,目前稀土产业的社会贡献率还较小,与我国稀土资源在生产供应端的主体地位相比,还很不相称。长久以来,在国际市场上也未获得与我国稀土供应量匹配的“话语权”及“定价权”。究其原因,在于我国稀土产业发展不均衡,尽快制定出适合我国稀土产业发展的战略规划迫在眉睫。本文以矿产资源学、资源经济学、可持续发展理论为理论依据,涉及包括矿产资源勘查开发、区域发展、产业经济、贸易政策等方面内容,对大量原始资料及数据进行综合处理及研究分析,应用统计分析、回归分析、专家打分、数学建模、图表法、对比法等方法进行了综合研究。通过对世界主要“生产、应用大国”的稀土年产量、储量及加工能力进行比较,在此基础上,提出利用线性回归、马氏矩阵结合地质学相关方法构建竞争力指标体系的理论方法,建立我国与世界各国稀土产业竞争力评价模型,从而实现对我国稀土资源国际竞争力的预测并进行动态评价。根据模型预测结果,研究提出了我国稀土产业发展的对策与建议:规划稀土资源发展蓝图,为产业发展指明道路;实施国家稀土战略储备,保障资源长期供应;加强稀土产品出口控制,维护国家利益;促进稀土企业整合,增强国际竞争力;支持稀土产业技术创新,依靠科技带动发展;建立国家战略联盟,获取稀土市场“话语权”;加大矿藏勘探力度,发掘我国稀土潜力;开发与回收并重,实现可持续发展。

【Abstract】 Rare earth, as a new functional material, has electrical, magnetic, optical, andbiological characteristics. It is an important raw material in national defenseconstruction, information technology, biotechnology and energy technology and otherhigh new technology fields. It also plays an important role in the reconstruction ofsome traditional industries, such as agriculture, chemical industry, building materials,etc.At present, our country is a country with the most abundant reserves of rare earth inthe world, and the domestic rare earth with a third of the world reserves. But it plays arole in supplying the majority of rare earth resources of the world demand. Since thefounding of New China, especially more than 30 years of reform and opening, Chinahas remarkable achievement in rare earth industry. However, at present, the socialcontribution rate of rare earth industry is small. It is not so matching with China’ssubject position in the production of rare earth resources. For a long time, it has notobtained the power of "discourse" and "pricing" in the international market, whichmatches with the supply of China rare earth resources. Investigating its reason, thedevelopment of rare earth industry in our country is not balanced. It is imminent towork out the suitable strategic planning of industry development for that.This Paper has several theoretical basis, such as the mineral resources, resourceeconomics, sustainable development theory, including the mineral resourcesexploration and development, regional development, industrial economic and tradepolicy and so on. And it has comprehensive processing and research analysis to theraw materials and data, using a statistical method, regression analysis, expert scoring,mathematical modeling, chart method, contrasting method and so on.This paper compares the annual production and reserves and processing capacity ofmajor "large production and application country" in the world. Based on this method,this paper puts forward to using linear regression, markov matrix method, combiningwith geology related methods to build the competitiveness index system theory, andestablish China’s rare earth industry competitiveness evaluation model with thecountries all over the world. In order to realize the dynamic evaluation of China’s rareearth future international competitiveness and make a prediction. According to themodel prediction, this paper puts forward eight suggestions: planning the rare earthresources development blueprint and indicating road to the industry development;implementing the national strategic reserves of rare earth and ensuring the long-termsupply; strengthening export control of the rare earth products and protecting interestsof the state; promoting the rare earth enterprise integration and increasinginternational competitiveness; supporting the rare earth industry technologyinnovation and promoting development relying on the science and technology;establishing national strategic alliances and obtaining "the power of discourse" in rareearth market; increasing mineral deposits exploration efforts and exploring potentialof rare earth resources; paying equal attention to development and recycling andrealizing the sustainable development.

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