冷战后日本外交决策过程研究

【作者】 樱井秀成；

【导师】 吴心伯；

【作者基本信息】 复旦大学 ， 国际政治， 2011， 博士

【摘要】 鉴于日本外交决策过程对日本外交政策本身产生的重大影响和冷战后在日本外交决策过程中出现的新变化的重要意义,对冷战后日本外交决策过程进行系统、细致的研究是非常必要的。本论文以冷战后至今的日本外交决策过程为主要研究对象,通过冷战后日本外交决策过程的模式化与其案例分析,阐明冷战后日本外交决策过程中出现的变化,趋势及其原因。本文共分为三大部分：绪论、正文(共五章)和结论。在绪论部分,笔者主要是界定研究对象,阐述研究意义,评估研究现状,提出研究思路,交代理论工具和研究方法,以及介绍本文的主要创新点和重难点。第一章是本文的理论探讨。笔者先对研究日本外交决策过程所需要的概念和术语进行定义；然后,对国际关系理论中关于外交决策的论述做出概括,并指出论述的主要成就和不足；接着探讨适合研究冷战后日本外交决策过程的理论框架,提出本课题建立三种模式来进行研究；最后阐述模式的基本形象、相关变量及重要概念。第二章至第四章详细论述了三种决策模式的理论概念及其案例分析。在第二章中笔者详细陈述了“官僚先例决策模式”的理论概念及其历史渊源,并进行其具体的案例分析。本章试图阐明官僚在日本外交决策过程中占中心位置,依照先例进行的决策过程。此章案例分析包括对海湾战争的经济援助、中国与印度的核试验问题。在第三章中,,笔者详细陈述了“政治收拢决策模式”的理论概念及其历史渊源,并进行其具体的案例分析。本章试图阐明多个行为体的不同意见,通过政治过程收拢到平衡点的外交决策过程。此章案例分析包括联合国和平协力法案与PKO法案、发动暂时进口限制措施的决策过程。在第四章中,详细陈述了“首相官邸支配模式”的理论概念及其历史渊源,并进行其具体的案例分析。本章试图阐明首相官邸有效控制决策过程,基本按照首相官邸的意向进行的决策过程。此章案例包括反恐特措法、伊拉克特措法的决策过程。在第五章中,笔者讨论各个模式之间的相互关系。首先探讨了什么时候、什么条件下会出现各个模式,其次讨论了可能出现的混合模式、子类模式,最后阐述了三种模式的历史变迁及其原因。第三部分是结论部分,首先将各种模式的优点和缺点进行讨论,并对冷战后日本外交决策过程的变化趋势阐述一引起笔者的意见,其次提出一些政策启示,最后指出本课题后续研究的方向与意义。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper explores Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process in the post-Cold War era, with a focus on the following issues in particular:What kinds of models are suitable to analyze Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process and how to create them? What are the changes and new characteristics in Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process in the post-Cold War era?The Introduction defines the research objective and approach, and addresses what the creative and difficult points are in this paper.Chapter one deals with the theoretical discussion about Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process. Firstly it defines some concepts and words which we need to use to analyze objects in this paper. Secondly it summarizes the conceptions of international relations theories about foreign policy dicision-making process. Finally it provides three different models on Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process and advances its basic images, variables, and concepts.Chapter two deals with "Bureaucratic precedent dicision-making model", it explains the model’s concepts, detailed content, and historical origin. It also conducts case analyses on "Economical Aid on the Gulf War" and "China and India’s Nuclear Tests"Chapter three deals with "Political convergence dicision-making model", it explains the model’s concepts, detailed content, and historical origin. It also conducts case analyses on "The UN Peace Mission Cooperation Law" and "The PKO Cooperation Law"Chapter four deals with "Prime minister dominant model", it explains the model’s concepts, detailed content, and historical origin. It also conducts case analyses on "Anti-Terrorism Special Measures Law" and "Iraq Revival Support Law on Special Measures on Land for the U.S. Military"Chapter five focuses on the relationship among three different models. It discusses the conditions of each model and the possibility of some other subordinate models and mixed models. It also addresses the tendency of changes in Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process after Cold War.The Conclusion summarizes the three models in the paper and put some criticism on the new tendency of Japanese foreign policy dicision-making process. Finally it mentions some inspirations for policies and the need of further study.更多还原