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农村公路建设项目后评价研究

The Study of Rual Road Construction Post-evaluation

【作者】 于艳春

【导师】 赵尘;

【作者基本信息】 南京林业大学 , 森林工程, 2011, 博士

【摘要】 针对我国农村公路建设项目的发展现状,以后评价相关理论为基础,阐述了农村公路后评价的特性,界定了农村公路的范围、特点以及农村公路建设项目后评价的内涵,分析了农村公路建设项目后评价与一般高速公路建设项目后评价的区别。从农村公路建设项目过程后评价、社会经济影响后评价、环境影响后评价及目标持续性后评价四个方面分别建立农村公路建设项目后评价指标体系。其中过程后评价指标体系的构建过程采用主成分分析法完成指标的筛选工作;社会经济影响后评价指标体系的建立从分析农村公路社会经济成效的机理出发,给出了社会经济影响后评价指标体系及单项指标的测算方法;环境影响后评价指标体系采用价值—目的—目标—指标(标准)的逻辑思路构建,并给出单项指标的测算方法;目标持续性后评价则采用逻辑框架法,从项目宏观目标、项目目的、项目产出与项目投入四个方面建立指标体系。本文重点采用层次分析法、成功度评价法、多极模糊综合评价法,建立了适合农村公路建设项目的综合后评价模型。并按该评价模型及其计算步骤,应用Visual C++2008开发了农村公路建设项目后评价系统。利用本系统对内蒙古赤峰市某农村公路和江苏省启东市农村公路项目群进行实证研究。

【Abstract】 Aiming at the current situation of rural road construction in China and based on the related theory of post-evalution, the characteristics of rural road post-evalution are discussed. The range and the features of rural road and the connotation of rual road construction post-evalution are defined. The differences of post-evalution between rural road construction and highway construction are also analyzed. The evalution index systems of rural road construction post-evalution are set up from four aspects which are the process post-evalution of rural road construction, the post-evalution of social and economic impacts, the post-evalution of environmental impacts and the post-evalution of taget sustainability. The Principal Component Analysis is used to choose index in building the index system for process post-evalution of rural road construction. The evalution index system of the post-evalution for social and economic impacts and the calculation of each index are presented on the mechanism of social and economic effects. The logic thought of value-object-aim-index(standard) is used to build the post-evalution index system for environmental impacts and the calculation of each index is presented. The Logical Framework Approach(LFA) is used from the phases of macroeconomic objective, aim, output and input of the construction to build the evalution index system for the post-evalution of taget sustainability.The Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP), the Success Appraisal Method(SAM), the Multi-level Fuzzy Comprehensive. Evalation(MFCE) and the Grey Cognate Analysis(GCA) are used to build the evalution index model for the post-evaluation of rural road construction in this paper. Based on the model and the calculation procedures, the software system for the post-evaluation is developed using Visual C++ 2008. Finally, the system is applied to a rural road in Chifeng city of the Inner Mongolia province and a set of rural roads in Qidong city of the Jiangsu province respectively.

  • 【分类号】U412
  • 【被引频次】7
  • 【下载频次】630
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