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江苏省沿海潮间带风电产业综合评价研究

Study on Industrial Synthetic Evaluation of Wind Energy in the Coast of Jiangsu Province

【作者】 严晓建

【导师】 蔡克勤;

【作者基本信息】 中国地质大学(北京) , 产业经济与可持续发展, 2011, 博士

【摘要】 随着不可再生能源的日趋枯竭,能源供应可持续发展以及由此引发的国家能源安全问题已得到各国高度关注。2005年2月28日我国十届人大第十四次会议通过并制定中华人民共和国《可再生能源法》,旨在促进我国可再生能源的开发利用,增加能源供应,改善能源结构,保障能源安全,保护环境,实现经济社会的可持续发展。风能资源获取便利、地域适应性广,是一种安全可靠的能源。由于风电具备洁净、可再生、成本低廉等特点,全球已有70多个国家在大力发展风电。发展海上风电也被看作战略性风能发展方向。我国东部沿海特别是江苏等沿海滩涂及近海具有开发风电的良好条件。大力发展沿海风电产业,有利于促进沿海地区经济社会可持续发展,有效应对气候变化,对于加快我国能源结构调整,解决经济发展的能源持续稳定供应问题具有重要的战略意义。相对于发达国家对可再生能源发展的重视,我国的风能利用和风电发展还远远不够。对于风能资源基础研究的缺乏和市场认知的偏差严重阻碍了我国风能资源的有效开发利用和风电产业的健康发展。本文以国内外风能开发利用及风电产业发展为背景,通过对风能利用相关理论和政策的梳理,借鉴国外先进的开发利用模式和管理经验,结合资源潜力评价和开发利用综合评价研究,基于近海风能资源的特性分析,进行科学的资源潜力分析,从经济、社会、环境三个角度建立沿海风能开发利用综合评价的模型,进行系统的风能利用评价体系研究,以加速实现我国风能利用及风电产业这一新兴朝阳产业的快速健康发展。并以江苏省为例进行实证研究,检验指标体系和评价模型的合理性,完善资源评价研究的理论与方法,从经济学、管理学、社会学等角度构建综合评价模型,为指导我国风电产业的未来发展提供政策方向。

【Abstract】 Exhausting nonrenewable energy, energy supply of sustainable development and the national energy security issues have been great concern to all countries. In 2005, Chinese government passed the renewable energy law to promote the development of renewable energy use, energy supply and improve energy structure and ensure energy security, environmental protection and socioeconomic sustainable development.As for clean, renewable, low cost, reliable and their convenience, wind resources have been one of the most important energy applied in more than 70 countries. Many countries have spending on efforts to promote the development of wind energy especially to offshore wind resource. The beaches and coastal in the east of Jiangsu province in particular provide a good condition in construct the offshore wind farm. We are still far from developed countries in the policy to guide the rapid growth of renewable energy and offshore wind. Lack of the wind resources basic research and market perceptions of bias is seriously hampered the process of our wind industry development.On the background of international wind exploitation and wind power generation industry development, make use of foreign advanced mode and management expertise and resources, analyzed resource potential of coastal wind, this paper establishes the offshore wind in the development and utilization of such comprehensive assessment model from economic, social and environmental perspectives. In order to accelerate the implementation of the wind power generation industry, the author takes Jiangsu province for example to pursue the indicator system of inspection and evaluation model of rationality. Comprehensive evaluation model will provide an effective policy instrument for our wind power generation industry development in the future.

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