【作者】 李平；

【导师】 王新华；

【作者基本信息】 山东科技大学 ， 资源经济与管理， 2009， 博士

【摘要】 新中国成立后,由于一大批资源的发现和勘查开发成功,一座座资源型城市拔地而起,为我国社会主义现代化建设事业的快速发展做出了贡献。但长期以来,在资源无限思想的指导下,高强度地对资源进行不合理的开采,许多资源型城市都面临着资源衰竭、环境污染严重、产业结构单一、地方财政困难、下岗失业压力大、经济增长缓慢、社会不稳定等一系列问题。随着国家经济体制的转变,资源型城市面临的经济、社会、生态环境等问题更加突出。如何在经济体制不断完善的过程中,通过产业结构调整规避资源型城市对资源的依赖,促进资源型城市的可持续发展,是新时期实现我国区域协调发展、构建和谐社会的重大战略任务和主题,具有重要战略意义和现实意义。本文中,在对资源、资源型城市、资源型产业、产业结构演进这样一些基本概念进行界定的基础上,分析我国资源型城市和资源型产业结构的主要特点。遵照科学性与现实性原则、全面性与系统性原则、定性与定量相结合原则、简明性与可操作性原则、发生学与动态性的原则,通过聚类分析,将资源型城市分为资源产业依附型、资源产业并重型和资源产业主导型三类。用不同类别城市产业结构的特征来说明聚类的判断标准,选择K-均值聚类方法作为资源型城市的聚类方法,并运用SPSS软件对枣庄、东营、济宁等12个资源型城市进行分类,验证聚类方法的可行性。根据投入和产出,对资源产业并重型城市和资源产业主导型城市进行类别分析,建立研究产业结构演进规律的三种模型：替代演进模型、非均衡演进模型、扩散演进模型。通过对这两类城市产业结构演进的不同影响因子进行分析和排序,确立其产业转型模式。以枣庄市和兖州市为例,研究这两类城市的产业结构演进状况及未来可以采取的演进措施。由于产业转型与可持续发展的关系是辩证的,在转型过程中也体现了可持续发展的方向和目标,影响产业转型的因素也就是可持续发展中应该解决和注意的问题,由此提出对策并建立保障体系。笔者采用定性、定量及实证相结合的研究方法,在总结前人研究成果的基础上,对资源型城市的发展现状和问题进行深入探讨,发现其内在的新的规律和特点。把资源型城市作为一种特殊的城市类型,力求在国内外资源型城市共同探索转型经验环境下探讨我国尤其是山东省的这类城市的转型与可持续发展等主要问题,可为政府制定政策和管理提供依据,为资源型城市及其产业的发展提供理论和方法参考。更多还原

【Abstract】 Thanks to the successful discovery and exploitation of enormous resources since the founding of New China, a large number of resources cities have sprung up, contributing to the rapid development of China’s socialist modernization construction. However, misled by the erroneous belief that there is a boundless wealth of resources available for use, many resources cities, after long period of irrational and intensified exploitation of resources, is now faced with a series of major challenges such as depletion of resources, severe pollution, monotonous industrial stucture, local fiancial difficulties, mounting pressure from expanding unemployment, economic slowdown and social stability. With the transition of the national economic system, these economic, social and natural challenges become even more apparent. Thus, in this national econmic transition, how to prevent resources cities’ excessive reliance on resources through industrial restructuring and promote their sustainable development is now a crucial task and major issue of strategic and practical significance in seeking for coordinated development of regions and in building a harmonious society.This research, based on defining the basic concepts of resource, resources city, resources industry, evolution of industrial structure, analyzes the main features of resources cities and structure of resources industry of China. By combining the principle of scientificity and practicality, comprehensiveness and systematicness, qualitative and quantitative analysis, simplicity and operability, embryology and dynamics, this research divides resources cities into three categories—resources industry relied cities, resources industry stressed cities and resources industry oriented cities, through Cluster Analysis. This research clarifies the criteria of Cluster Analysis through the features of industrial structure of cities in different categories and selects K-means as the clustering method for resources cities. It utilizes the SPSS software package to categorize the 12 resources cities including Zaozhuang, Dongying and Jining to verify the feasibility of Cluster Analysis. According to input and output, this research has conducted category analysis on resources industry stressed cities and resources industry oriented cities and established three models for studying the evolution law of industrial structure—Alternative Evolution Model, Unbalanced Evolution Model and Deffusion Evolution Model. Through analysis and ordering of the Impact Factors on the industrial structure evolution of resources industry stressed cities and resources industry oriented cities, this research sets up industrial transition models for these cities. Taking the two cities Zaozhuang and Yanzhou as example, it has studied their industrial structure evolution and proposed measures for their industrial transition in the future. As there is a dialectic relationship between industrial transition and sustainable development, the objective and direction of sustainable development are also represented in the transition process. The factors to affect industrial transition are exactly the issues to be stressed and resolved in the sustainable development. Therefore, this research has proposed the countermeasures and guarantee system.By applying qualitative and quantitative research approaches to authentic facts and summmarizing previous research, the current research studies the status quo and existing problems of resources cities and analyzes their inherent new law and features. Under the current circumstances that both foreign and domestic resources cities are seeking for industrial transition experience, this research studies the industrial transition, sustainable development and other major issues of this particular type of cites, i.e. resources cities, of China and especially of Shandong province, with a view to providing theoretical basis for government policy formulation and administration and both theoretical and practical reference for resources cities and their industrial development.更多还原