【摘要】 本文分析了中国在东亚不同的经济合作模式,即"10+1"、"10+3"以及"10+6"中的经济利益。分析结果表明,从直接的贸易投资利益、间接的宏观经济利益以及其他经济利益来看,中国在日本和韩国的经济利益最大,其次是在东盟的经济利益,而且中国在日、韩、东盟的经济利益都远远超过在印度、澳大利亚以及新西兰的经济利益。然而,从国家经济安全利益来看,印度、澳大利亚以及新西兰对于中国的铁矿石进口安全至关重要,而日、韩、东盟则对中国的成品油进口安全至关重要。通过对比研究中国从"10+1"到"10+3"、以及从"10+3"到"10+6"中的经济利益增量以及成本增量,本文认为,"10+3"是对中国最有利的一种经济合作模式,其他合作形式对中国也有重要的经济和安全利益,应适当加以考虑。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper is making analyzes of China’s economic benefits in different economic cooperation mode with East Asia,such as ASEAN plus one,ASEAN plus three and ASEAN plus six.The results show that,as far as direct trade and investment benefits,indirect macro-economic benefits and other benefits are concerned,China’s economic benefits derived from Japan and Korea is the biggest,the second is from ASEAN,and both the benefits from Japan,Korea and ASEAN are far bigger than the benefits from India,Australia and New Zealand.Furthermore,as far as national economic security is concerned,India,Australia and New Zealand are crucial to china’s importing of iron ore,and Japan,Korea and ASEAN are crucial to china’s importing of finished oil products.By a comparative study of the economic benefits increase and the costs increase from ASEAN plus one to ASEAN plus three and further to ASEAN plus six,this paper concludes that ASEAN plus three is the best economic cooperation mode for china.更多还原