【作者】 王宇飞；

【导师】 马树强；

【作者基本信息】 河北工业大学 ， 数量经济学， 2011， 硕士

【摘要】 本文以人力资本理论和经济增长理论为理论依据，结合区域经济增长与高等教育发展关系的有关理论，利用1990年—2008年的时间序列数据对河北省经济增长和高等教育发展的关系进行了实证检验，并从促进河北省经济增长的角度提出了高等教育发展的有关政策建议。本文内容基本安排如下:首先阐述经济增长和高等教育发展的内涵及其相关的理论，为本文的实证研究奠定理论基础;接着在分析河北省高等教育发展和经济增长现状的基础上，构建了河北省高等教育发展和经济增长的两个指标体系;然后从河北省高等教育发展数量增长、质量提高的角度，运用协整检验、Granger因果关系模型、误差修正模型，对河北省高等教育发展的数量增长、质量提高与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证检验，最后，从河北省高等教育发展的结构与效益方面研究了河北省高等教育与经济增长之间的关系。经过实证研究，得出了如下主要结论:1河北省高等教育发展与经济增长间存在长期均衡关系;从高等教育发展数量增长的角度来看，这种长期均衡关系虽然在短期内会出现失衡，但可以在对短期动态过程不断调整中维持。2河北省经济增长是河北省高等教育发展的Granger原因，但河北省高等教育发展不一定是河北省经济增长的Granger原因，高等教育发展对河北省经济增长的影响必须从高等教育发展内部各因素具体分析。3以“在校学生数”为代表的高等教育规模与经济增长负相关，以“财政支出”为代表的高等教育投资与经济增长正相关，且河北省高等教育的投资对经济增长的促进作用要高于物质资本投资对经济增长的促进作用。研究的不足是未能建立一个包含高等教育发展的数量、质量、结构和效益的综合计量模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 By the guide of theory of human capital and of new economic growth,with the theory aboutthe relations between the regional economics growth and higher education development,thepaper will adopt the economic model to research for the real relationship between two,which ison the basis of recent data of time series.Eventually,it will come up with the correspongingadvices deprived from the research conclusion.Basically,the contents of this paper are organized as follow:Firstly,it is interpreted that the technical identifications of higher education and economicgrowth and the relative theories such as human capital and new economic growth,which canmake theatric basis for the further empirical study.After that,the paper is to construct a couple of index systems to depict higher educationdevelopment and economic growth respectively,on the basis of analyzing the Hebei highereducation development and the economic growth present situation.Then considering from Hebei higher education development’s quantity grows and qualityenhancement it will adopt the econometric models such as Granger causality test,Cointegretionmodel,to evaluate the co-relations between the two systems.At the end of this paper,going a step further,it evaluates the co-relations between the twosystems from the structure of Hebei higher education development.According to the empiricalstudy,the paper comes to the conclusions as follows:1.There exist long-term relevance between the higher education development and theeconomic growth of Hebei Province.2.Hebei economic growth is Ganger Clause the higher education development. but we cannot sure that the development of higher education promote economic growth.3.There exist a positive correlation between the higher education investment and economicgrowth.Lack of the research is fail to built a comprehensive model including higher educationdevelopment quantity,structure and benefit.更多还原