【摘要】 研究影响黄河源区草原放牧家畜数量变化的主要因素，是保证草畜平衡政策有效落实的关键，也是草地保护和持续发展的基础。本研究对黄河源区河南县多松乡60户牧民进行实地走访调查，收集相关数据，从牧民文化水平、家庭收入、养殖规模、草场面积等主观因素，以及政策法规和气候变化等客观因素展开分析，探究影响牧民家畜数量变化的主要原因及其关键因素。灰色关联度分析表明，年出栏量和理论载畜量是影响牧户家畜数量变化的主要因素，家庭收入是影响牧户家畜数量变化的次要因素。鉴于此，为落实好草畜平衡政策，提高草原减畜奖补政策实施效果，建议提高黄河源区现行草原生态奖补标准，制定高寒草地放牧标准，增加牧户老弱家畜出栏量。更多还原

【Abstract】 Analyzing the main influence factors of livestock quantity in grassland is the key to ensure the effective implementation of livestock reduction policy.Studying the main influence factors on the number of livestock in grasslands in the Source Zone of the Yellow River(SZYR) is the key to ensuring the effective implementation of livestock reduction policies and is also the basis for grassland protection and sustainable development.Based on the field survey data of 60 herdsmen in Duosong township, Henan County in the SZYR,this paper analyzes the key factors and their causes from the aspects of herdsmen′s cultural level, family income, breeding scale, grassland area and other subjective factors, as well as policies and regulations and climate change.The results show that annual number of animals for sale and theoretical carrying capacity have the greatest impact on the number of herdsmen’s livestock, while household income has less impact on the number of herdsmen′s livestock.In view of this, in order to improve the implementation effect of the policy of rewarding, supplementing and reducing livestock in grasslands, it is suggested to improve the current grassland ecological supplement standard, to establish a grazing standard for alpine grasslands and to increase the number of herdsmen′s old and weak livestock for sale in the SZYR.更多还原