【摘要】 如何对脱贫户返贫风险进行量化评估和识别,实现可持续、高质量脱贫,成为当前我国脱贫攻坚中亟须研究的重要课题。本文选取豫西典型贫困县区,通过结合调研数据资料,运用层次分析法和德尔菲法,选取收入水平、脱贫方式、政府政策、致贫原因、家庭状况等相关指标,构建了返贫风险评估指标体系,对脱贫户返贫风险进行量化评估,有效实现对脱贫户返贫风险的精准识别,同时提出防返贫应形成"以风险监测的‘预警体系’为基础,以加速致富的‘阶梯激励’政策为路径,以增强‘造血’功能的‘内生动力’为机制,以保险市场的‘返贫险’为措施"的返贫风险防控体系,对返贫风险进行全面防控治理,实现贫不再返。更多还原

【Abstract】 How to evaluate and identify the risk of returning to poverty of out-of-poverty households and achieve sustainable and high-quality poverty alleviation has become an important topic. This paper takes the typical poverty area in western Henan Province as the research project, and selects the income levels, the way out of poverty, the government policy, the cause of poverty, the family situation and other related indicators by using the analytic hierarchy process and the Delphi method, to construct a risk assessment index system. The system is to quantitatively assess the risk of returning to poverty and to effectively realize the accurate identification of the risk. At the same time, it is proposed that the risk prevention and control system against returning to poverty should be built, with the "early warning system" of risk monitoring as the basement, the "ladder incentive" policy to accelerate the development of wealth as the path, the "endogenous motive force" of strengthening the function of "hematopoiesis" as the mechanism, and the "returning to poverty risk" of insurance market as the measurement. The risk of returning to poverty should be comprehensively controlled so that poverty can not return.更多还原