【摘要】 旅游客源市场是旅游目的地生存和发展的关键,科学地认识旅游客源市场的空间布局,对于开发、规划旅游市场以及优化旅游市场空间结构,具有重要意义。从一个地级市的视角,设计了基于国内旅游客源市场排序数据的空间得分计算式以及客源市场稳定性的概率计算式;以南宁市为例,研究了国内旅游客源市场空间格局变化的扩展模式,探析了国内旅游客源市场的稳定性;最后运用应用软件ArcGIS的聚类和异常值分析工具验证了国内旅游客源市场的空间格局及其稳定性,进而划分国内旅游客源市场的空间类型。结果表明:(1)南宁市国内旅游客源市场的空间扩展模式是近邻扩展、带状连片扩展和飞地扩展的复合空间格局扩张模式。(2)南宁市国内旅游客源市场的稳定性具有距离衰减规律特征。(3)南宁市国内旅游客源市场的空间集聚是显著的且空间格局是稳定的。(4)南宁市国内旅游客源市场主要集中分布在珠江流域和武广高铁沿线的华南、西南地区;基于高速铁路网的关联,南宁市国内旅游客源市场划分为核心客源市场、重要客源市场、一般客源市场和潜在客源市场四种空间类型。更多还原

【Abstract】 The tourist source market is the key to survive and develop for tourism destinations, and it is important to scientifically understand the spatial pattern of tourist source market for developing, planning tourist source market and optimizing its spatial structure. From a city perspective, the calculation formulas of spatial score and stability probability based on ranking data about domestic tourist source market were created. Taking Nanning city as an example, the spatial pattern expansion mode of domestic tourist source market was studied. And the stability of the domestic tourist source market was analyzed. Finally, the Anselin Local Moran’s I of software ArcGIS was used to verify the spatial pattern and stability of domestic tourist source market, and then the space types of tourist source market were divided. The results show that:(1) The spatial expansion mode of domestic tourist source market in Nanning city is a composite spatial pattern expansion mode with embodying neighborhood expansion, strip contiguous expansion and enclave expansion.(2) The stability of the domestic tourist source market in Nanning city is in accordance with distance-decay.(3) The spatial agglomeration of domestic tourist source market in Nanning city is significant and the spatial pattern is stable.(4) The domestic tourist source market in Nanning is mainly distributed in the south and southwest China, Pearl River basin and the region covering with Wuhan-Guangzhou high-speed railway. Based on the linkage of high-speed railway network, the domestic tourist source market in Nanning is divided into four spatial types, including the core source market, important source market, general source market and potential source market.更多还原