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基于延迟实物期权的矿业投资决策模型
Mining Investment Decision-making Model Based on Delayed Real Option
【摘要】 矿业投资受到许多不确定性因素的影响,这些不确定因素给矿业投资带来投资机会的价值,传统的净现值(NPV)法对矿业投资的评价未考虑这些不确定因素的影响。应用实物期权理论与方法,构建基于延迟实物期权的矿业投资决策模型,并运用算例说明了模型的有效性,为矿业投资决策提供了新的思路和决策方法。
【Abstract】 Mining investment is influenced with many uncertainties.The uncertainties provide the investment opportunity for mining investments.But traditional mining projects evaluation method,NPV,cannot involve this uncertainty.By means of Option Pricing Theory,it builds a mining investment decision-making model based on delayed real option and tests the reliability of this model through case study,and provides a helpful approach and quantitative tools for mining investment.
【关键词】 延迟实物期权;
矿业投资;
决策模型;
【Key words】 Delayed Real Option; Mining Investment; Decision-making Model;
【Key words】 Delayed Real Option; Mining Investment; Decision-making Model;
- 【文献出处】 系统工程 ,Systems Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年03期
- 【分类号】F224;F407.1
- 【被引频次】28
- 【下载频次】439